Friday’s NBA Action.. 22-11 this month (66%)
The Grizzlies couldn’t seal the deal last night, in a very wild game with lots of turnovers and flagrant fouls.. we got left on the short end of the numerous breaks.
Back to some great action on Friday. I have 5 prospective plays but they are not set in stone yet. I will list the prospective teams but not the lines as not to confuse anyone into thinking that these are the confirmed plays.
PROSPECTIVE Friday plays:
New Jersey Nets +5
This play is courtesy of the idiotic public bettors that now consider the Cavs as a good team because they beat the [terrible] Knicks and lost John Q. Public a “lock” bet. The Nets are more talented than the Cavs and Deron Williams has the talent and experience to mop the floor with Kyrie Irving. The public bettors are pushing this line up and we could get it above +5, which would be almost like stealing.
Indiana Pacers -3
The action is pretty much split on this bet, but I give the Pacers a 5-points intrinsic edge over the line. That edge doesn’t even account for the fact that Boston is on a b2b coming off of a very taxing comeback win against the Magic. Can you say “let down”?
New York Knicks +12
I am so glad that Carmelo Anthony is out, he is a cancer that completely stagnates the Knicks offense. Also, we will get a more favorable line because the public thinks that Melo IS the Knicks. We should be able to get this line at around +12 to +13 one the slow public bettors find out that Melo is out.
Utah Jazz +5
The Jazz a scrappy bunch that can hang with anyone on any given night. The Mavs have a lot of “homers”, as any defending champion does. This line is getting inflated due to public perception, even without Dirk.
Toronto Raptors +13
Ah, the Raptors, one of the least respected teams in the league. I am not saying the Raptors are great, but they are deep with a lot of decent players. This line is too high, especially given that Lawson is a no-go. Denver is due for regression because they have been playing out of their minds to start this season. Again, public perception is pushing this line higher and higher. I’ll take +12.5 any day, on pretty much any team, even without the large edge that the Raptors hold over the spread.
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These picks are official. I got these lines @ Sports Interaction. They shade the public more than a lot of books, so that is why lines on the underdogs may be better than you can get at your book.
